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The population is expected to decline by 11.8%, shrinking from 4.0 million to 3.5 million from 2020 to 2050. the u.s. is forecast to have the fourth largest working age. This is considerably higher than that of the mainland US, which sat at about 13% at that time.Â, Since Puerto Ricans can readily immigrate to the continental US (and can only vote for a president if they do so), many choose to make the leap. Hurricanes Maria and Irma have also forced many people in Puerto Rico to leave following the destruction they caused in 2017.Â, Another territory of the US, American Samoa, is one experiencing declining numbers as people seek a better economic future. The United Nations publishes demographic projections regularly, allowing Business Insider to study the fertility, mortality, and international migration projections to determine the 20 countries projected to have the largest percentage population declines over the next three decades (2020-2050). Population decline, however, can also lead to an aging population if fewer babies are being born, subsequently leading to a shrinking workforce, especially highly-educated, high-skilled workers. Predictions of the net economic (and other) effects from a slow and continuous population decline (e.g. The population is expected to shrink from 2.7 million to 2.1 million people. Big countries, with large populations, assuming technology and other things being equal, tend to have greater military power than small countries with small populations. Thus, it predicts population decline will happen sooner than current United Nations forecasts. The current population of 60.5 million people will reduce to 54.4 million over the next 30 years. The poverty rate in Puerto Rico, which is an American territory, was 43.1% in 2018. It has a tiny population of about 6,000 people, the majority of whom are employed in fish processing. Hungary’s population has fallen by about over 40,000 per year and shows no signs of slowing down. By Victoria Simpson on September 14 2020 in Society, We usually think of our planet as bursting at the seams with people. Immigration has delayed a quicker population decline in recent years. In spite of this, some locations are actually still struggling to keep people living within their borders. Click on the name of the country or dependency for current estimates (live population clock), historical data, and projected figures. In addition to lowering working age population, population decline will also lower the military age population, and … By 2100, 183 of the 195 countries … Mass emigration and population decline, assisted by the end of the Cold War and latterly facilitated by accession into the EU by many former Soviet states, has been occurring since the early 1990s so it isn’t a new phenomenon. Italy. But for immigration, many Anglo countries with declining birth rates including Australia and the US would be shrinking population-wise too. By 2100, experts predict Earth’s population will peak at a tremendous 11 billion souls, packing some cities and countries with more individuals than is possible to really handle. Latvia: The population is projected to drop from 1.9 million in 2020 to 1.5 million … Using the UN’s population estimates, we found the 20 countries projected to have the largest percent decline in population from 2020 to 2050. The study also suggests that some countries' population decline could be offset by immigration. Poland’s population is predicted to drop by 12.0%. The population of Greece is expected to shrink from 10.4 million to 9.0 million, 1 13.4% over the next 30 years. due to low fertility rates) are mainly theoretical since such a phenomenon is a relatively new and unprecedented one. America’s population is also falling, but the study asserts that the US, along with some countries such as Canada and Australia, will probably maintain its working-age population through migration. The Albanian population is expected to decrease by 15.8% over the next 30 years, falling from 2.9 million people to 2.4 million people. Andorra, a small mountainous country sandwiched between France and Spain, only has a population of 77,821 people to begin with. Number 1 on our list of top 12 countries with declining population is Andorra with a phenomenal rate of decrease. The young people leaving the country and low birth rates are resulting in an increasingly aging population. And countries such as Russia, where population is declining outside the context of a robust capital infrastructure, will see per capita GDP decline depending on the price of commodities like oil. People in this country experienced a long civil war that lasted from about 1975 to 1990, and this has left its mark. Countries with natural decline (deaths exceeding births) as of 2001 include… This territory is stuck in a difficult spot. Most who immigrate end up migrating to New Zealand. Bulgaria’s population is expected to decline by 22.5% from 6.9 million in 2020 to 5.4 million in 2050. Europe is leading the world in countries with declining population growth and an aging population, but this problem is one that affects most developed countries at some point. The areas with the highest rates of population decline are Zeeland Flanders, southern Limburg and northern and eastern Groningen. Decline in Military Strength. Compared to other Baltic states, Estonia’s population decline has been relatively slow and stable. A Declining Workforce. A shrinking population can mean more resources can be allocated to the population and per capita wealth could increase. The results of many of these studies show that the estimated impact of population growth on economic growth is generally small and can be positive, negative, or nonexistent. China's population is expected to peak in 2031, while the populations of Japan and South Korea are projected to decline after 2020. Now, the scene is slightly different.  From low fertility rates to few job prospects and natural disasters, the list of reasons people leave their home country to find a new one is changing, as are the countries grappling with this problem. China’s population is forecast to decline by 48% by the end of this century. Globally population growth stands at around 75 million, or 1% a year, and while much has been written about the challenges this creates, some countries are grappling with an entirely different problem – decreasing populations. The Serbian population is expected to decline from 8.7 million to 7.1 million over the next 30 years. It wasn’t until 2019 that the nation’s first labor force study was completed since the war, and it revealed some reasons why Lebanese people may be leaving.Â, Unemployment was discovered to be running at about 11.4% and this is without including refugee camps in the country. Already dwindling are the populations of Russia (since 1992), Japan (first in 2008 and uninterrupted since 2010) and Italy (since 2014). With a population of approximately 77,281 (2016) people, the country is the eleventh-smallest by population and sixteenth-smallest by land in the world. North Macedonia’s population is expected to drop by 10.9%, shrinking from 2.1 million to 1.9 million from 2020 to 2050. What was once an agricultural area becomes a new suburb, and what were once thriving cities can be reduced to rubble in war, or be abandoned over time, due to economic decline. War can cause countries to face economic and political troubles decades after it ends. The population will reduce from 19.2 million to 16.3 million over the next three decades. Bulgaria, Latvia, Moldova, Ukraine, Croatia, Lithuania, Romania, Serbia, Poland, Hungary, are estimated to see their population shrink by 15% or more by 2050. Political strife and instability still cause many Lebanese people to seek out a safer life elsewhere. As quality of life in Andorra is excellent - the country's life expectancy i… A low fertility rate of 1.57 children born for every woman in 2018 also contributes to a shrinking population.Â, This being said, life expectancy is high in Saint Pierre and Miquelon and citizens enjoy universal healthcare, as well as a free education through high school.Â, Many factors can cause a country to have a shrinking populace. Like Bulgaria, Lithuania’s largest population loss is due to mass migration. Between 2007 and 2015, about 3.5 million Romanians have gone abroad to escape poverty and widespread corruption. Births are at an all-time low since the unification of Italy and young people are leaving Italy to other European countries for job opportunities. Population decline has both positive and negative impacts on a nation. Countries with shrinking populations are often surrounded by others suffering the same quandaries. This also left thousands homeless and destroyed buildings for miles around.Â, What else is contributing to a decreasing population? War, political unrest, and racial or ethnic persecution can be major drivers that cause people to migrate in search of a better life. As economic and political opportunities move around the globe in response to our needs and wants as humans, people will continue to migrate, and populations will continue to change.Â, All maps, graphics, flags, photos and original descriptions © 2020 worldatlas.com, Countries With The Largest Aging Population In The World, Countries By Percentage Of World Population, South American Countries by Population Density, Types Of Crimes By Number Of Offenses In The US. This leads to skills shortages and … The decline in Georgia’s population is caused by the emigration in search of better jobs in other countries. And when federal funds and grants, which represent a big portion of the country’s government revenues and are based on the size of the population, decrease, it starts a self-fulfilling economic loop downwards. The Portuguese population is projected to decline from 10.2 million to 9.1 million over … Even the launch of pro-natalist programmes for mothers and children by the government could not revive the population growth in developed countries. Moldova’s population will decline by 16.7% from 2020 to 2050. Both the U.S. and world populations are forecast to … Here, the population is projected to fall by 16% by 2040. Click on the name of the country or dependency for current estimates (live population clock), historical data, and … Among the 10 smaller countries with the greatest population declines, all are in Europe, and outside Western Europe, with Bulgaria’s population expected to shrink 27% by 2050 and Romania’s 22%. When this happens, the population declines over time.Â, Where people live on Earth is always in flux. The areas with the highest rates of population decline are Zeeland Flanders, southern Limburg and northern and eastern Groningen. Population decline, also known as depopulation, is a reduction in a human population caused by events such as long-term demographic trends. The high migration rates are coupled with low fertility rates. Lebanon, Cook Islands, American Samoa, Puerto Rico, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon top the list as countries with the biggest population decline. 17. The population is expected to decline by 11.8%, shrinking from 4.0 million to 3.5 million from 2020 to 2050. Greece’s population could decline up to 50% over the next 50 years if nothing is done to combat it. This is a decline of about 18.9%. A recent meta-study f… In certain other parts of the country, population decline is anticipated but has not yet actually started. Reasons for Population Decline. The population is expected to fall by 600,000 from 4 million to 3.4 million. Latvia is expecting a 21.6% population loss between 2020 and 2050. Low birth rates and continued emigration are the two main reasons for Poland’s population decline. For st… And countries such as Russia, where population is declining outside the context of a robust capital infrastructure, will see per capita GDP decline depending on the price of commodities like oil. Other countries outside of Europe that could see a steep decline in population include Japan and Thailand, the study says. Ukraine’s population is projected to drop from 43.7 million in 2020 to 35.2 million in 2050, a 19.5% loss. These countries’ average population growth rates over the past 10 and 50 years are also included. The population reached its peak in 1991 at 4.78 million but has been declining since because of low birth rates and an aging population. In another example, while South Korea currently boasts a younger than average population, it will age rapidly and end up with the highest old-to-young ratio among developed countries. The first non-European country on the top is the United States of America on 12th place. Many of Serbia’s highly educated and skilled workers have left the country to find better job opportunities since there are very few in Serbia. Japan’s population has been falling since 2011 due to very low fertility rates (1.42 births per woman) and an aging population. Europe Population Growth. Japan’s population is projected to lose 20.7 million people between 2020 and 2050. This statistic shows the 20 countries with the highest population decline rate in 2017. Portugal. Croatia’s population is expected to shrink by 18.0%. Romania’s population is projected to decline by 15.5% from 2020 to 2050. One is the changes in marriage behavior. Populations are falling even where advanced industrialism is not in place, and in areas where only urbanization and a decline of … Mass outbound migration is the largest contributor towards Bulgaria’s population decline. Population is already falling in countries such as Japan and a future global decline is more plausible than ever before. There are several other countries with declining populations like Georgia (-1.21%), Latvia (-1.18%), and Romania (-0.79%) among others. China's population is expected to peak in 2031, while the populations of Japan and South Korea are projected to decline after 2020. Besides this industry and a few people working in tourism, jobs can be hard to come by. The reasons for overlapping negative population growth in these countries are low fertility, family planning, the difficult economic situation leading to poverty and unemployment, high emigration … So many are leaving that in 2018, prime minister Henry Puna promised to pay mothers baby bonuses of $770 for each child born on the islands in order to combat population decline.Â, Poverty and natural disasters are the main reasons people are migrating from Puerto Rico. High emigration rates coupled with high death rates and low birth rates are to blame for Ukraine’s population loss. Japan, Hungary, Slovakia and the Baltic states are among the countries facing substantial population declines that have shied away from immigration, preferring to “maintain a linguistic and culturally homogeneous society” that – at least for now – outweighs “the economic, fiscal and geopolitical risks of declining … Due to varying demographic challenges around the world, many countries are facing shrinking populations. Countries in the world by population (2020) This list includes both countries and dependent territories.Data based on the latest United Nations Population Division estimates. Changes in the working-age population are likely to be particularly important for policymakers. Unlike other US territories, it does not have a strong tourist industry. 79 billion by 2100. The country’s birth rate is 9.2 births per 1,000 people and its death rate is 15.2 deaths per 1,000 people. 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